Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1182.879369 1362.493947 1569.639689 1828.401253 2146.084559 2527.468013 3.026249e+03
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 931.736667 1156.807183 1444.237865 1846.688487 2409.872129 3193.037825 4.408766e+03
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 784.627637 1018.692360 1336.752153 1815.597355 2546.834627 3674.791013 5.667865e+03
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 701.875295 944.991440 1292.727370 1849.617212 2768.191526 4327.297922 7.453787e+03
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 615.925434 851.176276 1200.420169 1786.035237 2810.779136 4687.547129 8.871928e+03
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 551.374734 778.993034 1127.838063 1736.719350 2859.948911 5066.615356 1.051710e+04
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 497.555507 716.087643 1060.136711 1681.693899 2882.689779 5396.490858 1.223562e+04
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 477.719975 703.393817 1070.757931 1763.980264 3186.193761 6425.869122 1.652176e+04
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 454.767747 682.726062 1064.617436 1813.251759 3433.968687 7427.619975 2.165441e+04
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 433.827141 662.920372 1056.975702 1857.464281 3681.792298 8540.109865 2.845412e+04
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 407.887771 631.980539 1025.537045 1848.109041 3802.995696 9360.293664 3.517272e+04
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 390.002577 613.241779 1014.127217 1878.304961 4029.435889 10616.623462 4.620371e+04
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 374.689094 599.150597 1012.674066 1936.785429 4367.614411 12526.721631 6.643079e+04
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 355.591267 576.727117 993.067547 1952.802062 4603.106161 14277.715142 9.239211e+04
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 333.647064 546.993809 955.390839 1919.688906 4686.595618 15500.933933 1.197228e+05
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 320.563146 532.651066 947.181481 1956.264655 4998.839907 18029.359790 1.808611e+05
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 299.367699 501.129654 900.053368 1887.863581 4951.540711 18796.012644 2.232029e+05
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 281.461632 474.669482 861.143692 1834.845529 4943.572880 19807.254449 2.848630e+05
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 264.636712 449.169161 822.025578 1775.729808 4899.560376 20616.853285 3.575772e+05
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 260.678796 448.683647 837.026149 1864.148644 5428.192930 25628.386228 7.343674e+05
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 254.189669 442.589011 838.931577 1917.137228 5848.765240 30661.293771 1.533193e+06
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 247.678578 435.931877 838.845618 1964.713308 6273.140639 36608.891736 3.754564e+06
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 237.907445 421.857497 820.278466 1954.644153 6447.148849 40748.520481 8.284636e+06